Showing posts with label Government failure National Debt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Government failure National Debt. Show all posts

Thursday, 29 January 2009

Grim expectations for UK economy

There have been more gloomy predictions about the state of the UK economy. The burden of UK government debt will remain above pre-crisis levels for 20 years, says the independent Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), a think tank. In its annual Green Budget, the IFS says that the government will need to raise taxes or cut spending by an extra £20bn to repair the public finances. Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund predicts that the UK will see its economy shrink by 2.8% in 2009. It also expects the UK economy to grow by just 0.2% in 2010.

World economic growth is set to fall to just 0.5% this year, its lowest rate since World War II, warns the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In October, the IMF had predicted world output would increase by 2.2% in 2009. It now projects the UK, which recently entered recession, will see its economy shrink by 2.8% next year, the worst contraction among advanced nations. The IMF says financial markets remain under stress and the global economy has taken a "sharp turn for the worse".
Watch the IMF press conference highlighting the key aspects of the report.

Thursday, 22 January 2009

Bailing out the banks - possible 'Government Failure'?

An article in The Independent analyses the possible consequences of the government bailout of the banks. The overall figure appears to be around £1 trillion , nearly equal to our annual GDP. Will this solve the problems of the banking sector or will they merely be transferred to the state? The amount imvolved will have a big impact on the National Debt which will beome a burden if it is unsustainable. Remember what we mean by 'Government Failure' - where intervention leads to a loss of economic welfare rather than a gain. Is this an example of the costs of intervention exceeding the benefits?