The public finances lurched to a record deficit last month driven by a weakening economy and overspending by the government, and analysts say much worse is yet to come as the economy tips into recession.The Office for National Statistics said that public sector net borrowing came in higher than expected at £8.1bn, a record for a September and way above the £4.8bn shortfall seen in September last year. That left the cumulative PSNB for the first half of the 2008/09 fiscal year at £37.6bn versus £21.5bn in the same period a year ago and the highest since records began in 1946. An interesting graphic showed Debt as a % of GDP and despite the current figures the UK remains near the bottom of the table with a figure of 43.6%. For the US it is 60.8%, France 63.9%, Germany, 64.9%, Italy 104% and Japan 170%. If the support for Northern Rock is removed the figure for the UK stands at 38%. There is a view that the the National Debt will reach 100% of GDP by 2010/11 and whilst it is acceptable to borrow during a recession, these higher borrowing figures have emerged before the recession has really started. Link
There is an explanation of the significance of higher government borrowing. (Link)
No comments:
Post a Comment